Over the past five years, there have been more transgender mass shootings than in the previous two decades. From 2018 to 2025, at least four or five confirmed cases appear consistently across sources, compared to just one case documented before 2018 in The Violence Project database, which tracks incidents back to 1966.
Recent cases include the 2025 Catholic church attack in Minnesota, where a transgender individual killed two children and injured 17, leaving a manifesto threatening to “kill Donald Trump”; the August 2025 Minneapolis school shooting by Robin Westman; the March 2023 Nashville Covenant School shooting by Audrey Hale; the November 2022 Colorado Springs Club Q shooting; the May 2019 Highlands Ranch, Colorado, school shooting; and the September 2018 Aberdeen, Maryland, warehouse shooting. In February 2024, Kyle Benjamin Douglas Calvert, a pansexual nonbinary Antifa sympathizer from Irondale, Alabama, attempted to bomb the state attorney general’s office in Montgomery. The 2025 assassination of Charlie Kirk was not committed by a transgender person, but by a man romantically involved with a transgender individual who subscribed to trans ideology.
Tracking this trend is difficult because federal crime reporting systems do not record gender identity. The FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports and Active Shooter documents track age, race, and biological sex, but not whether an offender identifies as transgender. Similarly, the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) categorizes offenders by biological sex, meaning a transgender shooter would typically be reported as male. As a result, there is no centralized, official dataset specifically counting transgender offenders in murders or mass shootings.
Beyond mass shootings, which represent only a small percentage of violence in America, transgender perpetrators are increasingly appearing in violent assaults, though the real numbers are likely higher given the crime data collection problems discussed earlier. On example was in June 2024, Jason Lee Willie, who identifies as a woman and goes by Alexia, was sentenced to one year in prison after pleading guilty to threatening to rape girls in restrooms, carry out school shootings, and bomb churches.
The rise in trans-perpetrated violence, intimidation, and assaults by extreme trans activists is often linked to “Trantifa,” a loosely organized movement of far-left transgender activists associated with Antifa ideology. The name, a portmanteau of “transgender” and “Antifa,” refers to activists who view the United States as systemically racist and oppressive toward trans people, framing laws against gender-related practices as part of a “trans genocide.” Online, an official Trantifa International Facebook and Twitter presence describes itself as “the transgender arm of Antifa.”
Several incidents have been attributed to Trantifa activists: former NCAA swimmer Riley Gaines was chased, assaulted, and barricaded at San Francisco State University after opposing biological males in women’s sports; in 2025, Antifa militants and trans activists disrupted a Turning Point USA event at the University of Washington, where a protester carrying a trans flag hurled a bag of dog feces at a volunteer; cyclist Hannah Arensman quit her sport after harassment, reportedly involving pro-trans Antifa members from the John Brown Gun Club; and women at a protest described being bloodied, pepper-sprayed, and attacked by masked trans activists they identified as Trantifa. Other reports include a man attacked with a flagpole outside the CIF State Championship, with the suspect arrested.
One reason cited for the rise of Trantifa and violent incidents involving transgender individuals is that some believe they are being subjected to genocide. They interpret actions such as removing Pride flags from public buildings, prohibiting transition surgeries and drug therapies for children, ending medical insurance coverage for gender-transition treatments, and requiring U.S. service members to dress and serve according to their birth gender as an attempt to drive transgender people into extinction. Because of this, some feel justified in fighting back.
Mike Howell, president of the Oversight Project, an organization urging the FBI to create a new domestic terrorism category called Transgender Ideology-Inspired Violence and Extremism (TIVE), the genocide framing absolute nonsense but said his group is pressing the FBI to include this category under its violent extremism framework. According to Howell, this would allow the FBI to run such investigations through its counterterrorism branch, just as it did with January 6 cases.
He explained that there are already numerous designations for other ideologies, such as animal rights violence and racially motivated extremism, and that adding TIVE would give the FBI more latitude to investigate and enforce the law. It would also, he said, create “clear categorization” that would produce cleaner data, enabling agencies to study, report on, and develop policies around the problem.
Currently, the FBI does not collect crime data based on gender identity, which allows critics to dispute claims of rising transgender violence because most statistics come from private groups rather than government sources. A formal designation, Howell said, would change that. It would fit transgender terrorism into the legal framework under 18 U.S.C. § 2331(5) and permit enhanced intelligence gathering and sharing.
Howell added that once the threat is formally labeled, authorities would be able to work with DHS to create fusion centers and joint task forces across federal, state, and local agencies. This, he said, would provide a legal framework for action, allowing officials to identify the threat, align it with the statutory definition of domestic terrorism, and investigate acts intended to intimidate civilians or government. It would also enable prevention efforts similar to those used against radical Islam, examining radicalization pipelines, disrupting them in communities, and even pursuing financial disruption of violent actors.
According to Howell, the transgender movement’s “out-of-control rhetoric” has fostered an environment where a subset of extreme activists engage in violence and domestic terrorist actions. He added that the desire of trans extremists to eliminate their ideological opponents is, in his view, “clearly domestic terrorism.”
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